Wall Street's Insights Into Key Metrics Ahead of Exxon (XOM) Q1 Earnings

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast Exxon Mobil (XOM) will report quarterly earnings of $1.72 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 16.5%, with anticipated revenues of $84.49 billion, an increase of 1.7% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 8.2% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Sales and other operating revenue' will reach $84.12 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of +4.6% [5]. - 'Revenues- Income from equity affiliates' is projected at $1.17 billion, reflecting a decline of 36.4% from the previous year [5]. - 'Revenues- Sales and other operating revenue- Specialty Products' is expected to be $7.16 billion, showing a significant increase of +55% year over year [6]. - 'Revenues- Sales and other operating revenue- Energy Products' is forecasted to reach $63.39 billion, indicating a slight decline of -1.3% from the prior year [6]. - 'Revenues- Sales and other operating revenue- Upstream- Non-U.S.' is estimated at $3.24 billion, down by 8% year over year, while 'Upstream- United States' is expected to rise by 161% to $5.72 billion [7]. - 'Revenues- Sales and other operating revenue- Chemical Products- Non-U.S.' is projected at $3.67 billion, a change of +0.6%, and 'Specialty Products- Non-U.S.' is expected to reach $5.31 billion, reflecting a +68.5% increase [8]. Production Estimates - Analysts project 'Oil-equivalent production per day' to be 4,584.05 KBOE/D, up from 3,784 KBOE/D in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Natural gas production available for sale per day - Worldwide' is expected to reach 8,462.62 Mcf/D, compared to 7,362 Mcf/D a year ago [9]. - 'Net production of crude oil, natural gas liquids, bitumen and synthetic oil per day - Worldwide' is estimated at 3,139.27 thousand barrels, up from 2,557 thousand barrels in the same quarter last year [10]. - For the United States, 'Net production of crude oil, natural gas liquids, bitumen and synthetic oil per day' is projected at 1,395.05 thousand barrels, compared to 816 thousand barrels a year ago [11]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Exxon shares have declined by 9%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has seen a minor decrease of 0.2% [12].