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大北农(002385):2025年04月30日投资评级:买入(维持)

Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue was 28.767 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.85%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 346 million yuan, turning from loss to profit [1] - For Q1 2025, the revenue was 6.865 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.36%, with a net profit of 134 million yuan, also turning from loss to profit [1] - The company adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 due to expected declines in pig prices, projecting net profits of 767 million yuan, 804 million yuan, and 836 million yuan for 2025-2027 [1] Group 2: Feed Business - In 2024, feed revenue was 19.054 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.68%, with a gross margin of 12.49%, an increase of 0.05 percentage points [2] - Total feed sales were 5.4055 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 7.61%, with significant growth in poultry feed sales, which increased by 54.55% [2] - The company optimized its channel structure, with 32% of feed product revenue from distribution channels and 68% from direct sales [2] Group 3: Swine Business - The company sold 6.405 million pigs in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.89%, with swine business revenue of 6.278 billion yuan, up 10.10% year-on-year [2] - The net profit from swine business was 1.122 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 19.80%, an increase of 27.71 percentage points, attributed to rising pig prices and declining breeding costs [2] Group 4: Seed Business - In 2024, seed revenue was 1.425 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.40%, with sales of 53.5264 million kilograms, up 1.7% [3] - The company has a robust reserve of genetically modified traits, with multiple products approved for production and import licenses [3] - As of April 8, 2025, 97 genetically modified corn varieties passed initial review, with 61% of them utilizing the company's traits [3]