山西汾酒(600809)：2024高质量收官 2025稳健开局

Core Insights - Shanxi Fenjiu reported a revenue of 36.011 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.79%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.243 billion yuan, up 17.29% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 16.523 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.72%, with a net profit of 6.648 billion yuan, an increase of 6.15% year-on-year [1] Revenue and Profitability - The company’s mid-to-high-end liquor and other liquor categories generated revenues of 26.532 billion yuan and 9.342 billion yuan respectively in 2024, with year-on-year growth of 14.35% and 9.4% [1] - The gross margins for mid-to-high-end liquor and other liquor were 84.45% and 53.15%, showing increases of 0.36 and 1.5 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Total liquor sales volume reached 220,600 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.20% [1] Market Expansion - In 2024, the company achieved revenues of 13.5 billion yuan from the domestic market and 22.374 billion yuan from the external market, with year-on-year growth of 11.72% and 13.81% respectively [2] - The proportion of revenue from external markets increased to 62.37%, indicating a continued optimization of market layout [2] - The total number of distributors reached 4,553 in 2024, an increase of 613 from 2023, with a significant number of new distributors in external markets [2] Financial Metrics - The company’s gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 76.2% and 34% respectively, reflecting increases of 0.9 and 1.31 percentage points year-on-year [3] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 12.172 billion yuan, up 68.47% year-on-year [4] - The proposed cash dividend for 2024 is 36.00 yuan per 10 shares, with a total payout of 7.393 billion yuan, representing 60.39% of net profit attributable to shareholders [4] Future Outlook - The company aims to achieve revenues of 39.559 billion yuan, 44.466 billion yuan, and 50.905 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 13.407 billion yuan, 15.076 billion yuan, and 17.470 billion yuan respectively [4]