Core Insights - The liquor sector experienced a decline of 0.42% on November 21, with the leading stock, Jiu Gui Jiu, falling the most [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down 2.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down 3.41% [1] Stock Performance Summary - Guizhou Moutai closed at 1466.60, with a slight decrease of 0.03% and a trading volume of 42,600 shares, amounting to 6.26 billion [1] - Wuliangye closed at 119.68, down 0.47%, with a trading volume of 205,100 shares, totaling 2.468 billion [1] - Luzhou Laojiao saw a decline of 1.94%, closing at 134.20, with a trading volume of 101,800 shares, amounting to 1.385 billion [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The liquor sector saw a net outflow of 438 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 112 million [2] - The main stocks with significant capital flow included Shanxi Fenjiu, which had a net inflow of 12.5 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 23.5 million from retail investors [3] - Tianyoude Liquor experienced a net outflow of 8.74 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 5.63 million [3]

11月21日，山西汾酒盘中下跌2.00%，截至10:44，报189.53元/股，成交5.19亿元，换手率0.22%，总市 值2312.20亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入967.47万元，特大单买入4946.34万元，占比9.54%，卖出5077.64万元， 占比9.79%；大单买入1.06亿元，占比20.48%，卖出9518.65万元，占比18.36%。 截至9月30日，山西汾酒股东户数8.00万，较上期减少23.37%；人均流通股15252股，较上期增加 30.50%。2025年1月-9月，山西汾酒实现营业收入329.24亿元，同比增长5.00%；归母净利润114.05亿 元，同比增长0.48%。 分红方面，山西汾酒A股上市后累计派现243.25亿元。近三年，累计派现167.75亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，山西汾酒十大流通股东中，招商中证白酒指数A（161725）位居 第三大流通股东，持股3865.14万股，相比上期增加451.09万股。香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流通 股东，持股2716.39万股，相比上期减少2183.52万股。易方达蓝筹精选混合（005827）位居第五大流通 ...

Core Insights - The retail prices of major Chinese liquor brands have shown a slight decline, indicating a market adjustment phase following the Double Eleven shopping festival and platform governance changes [1][6] - The overall average price for a packaged set of ten major liquor products is 9,246 yuan, down by 8 yuan from the previous day [1] - Notable price movements include an increase in the price of Qinghua Lang by 3 yuan per bottle, while Guizhou Moutai and other brands experienced minor declines [1][3] Price Movements - Guizhou Moutai (Feitian) price is 1,839 yuan per bottle, down by 1 yuan [3] - Guizhou Moutai (Jingpin) price is 2,384 yuan per bottle, down by 3 yuan [3] - Wuliangye (Pu 58) price is 861 yuan per bottle, up by 1 yuan [3] - Qinghua Fen 20 price is 393 yuan per bottle, up by 2 yuan [3] - Gujing Gong (Gu 20) price is 510 yuan per bottle, down by 5 yuan [4] - Xijiu Junpin price is 666 yuan per bottle, down by 570 yuan [4] - Qinghua Lang price is 710 yuan per bottle, up by 3 yuan [4] - Shuijing Jian Nan Chun price is 412 yuan per bottle, up by 2 yuan [4] Market Trends - The market is currently in a narrow consolidation phase, reflecting adjustments in supply and demand dynamics [1] - The data collection for liquor prices is sourced from approximately 200 points across major regions, ensuring a comprehensive representation of market conditions [6][7] - The price table aims to provide an objective and traceable overview of the Chinese liquor market, promoting sustainable industry development [6]

Core Viewpoint - The white liquor industry is experiencing a "volume increase and price decline" trend during the 2025 "Double 11" shopping festival, driven by inventory pressure and promotional strategies from e-commerce platforms [1] Industry Summary - On November 20, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3931.05 points, down 0.4%, while the white liquor sector closed at 2292.87 points, down 0.78% [1] - Among individual stocks, Kweichow Moutai closed at 1467.11 CNY per share, down 0.27%; Wuliangye closed at 120.25 CNY per share, up 0.3%; Shanxi Fenjiu closed at 193.4 CNY per share, down 0.97%; Luzhou Laojiao closed at 136.85 CNY per share, down [1] Company Summary - Tianfeng Securities reported that the price of famous liquor brands on traditional e-commerce platforms has fallen below the bottom line due to the pressure of dealer inventory and promotional activities [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor industry is experiencing a "volume increase and price decline" trend during the 2025 "Double 11" shopping festival, with traditional e-commerce platforms facing significant price drops due to inventory pressures and promotional strategies from distributors [1] Industry Summary - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3931.05 points, down 0.4%, with the liquor sector closing at 2292.87 points, down 0.78%, and 11 liquor stocks declining [1] - Major liquor companies showed mixed performance: Kweichow Moutai closed at 1467.11 CNY per share, down 0.27%; Wuliangye closed at 120.25 CNY per share, up 0.3%; Shanxi Fenjiu closed at 193.4 CNY per share, down 0.97%; Luzhou Laojiao closed at 136.85 CNY per share, down 0.21%; Yanghe Brewery closed at 68.26 CNY per share, down 0.32% [1] Market Dynamics - Traditional e-commerce platforms are seeing prices for famous liquor brands drop below acceptable levels due to the pressure from distributor inventory and platform subsidies aimed at attracting customers [1] - Emerging channels like instant retail and Douyin are experiencing growth, indicating a shift in consumer behavior towards "buy now, drink now" scenarios [1] - Liquor companies are actively launching anti-counterfeiting measures by publishing authorized "white lists" and unauthorized "black lists" to stabilize prices and balance online traffic with offline channel interests [1] - The industry is expected to shift from price wars to value reconstruction, focusing on high-quality price-performance products and refined channel operations in the medium to long term [1]

Market Overview - A-shares showed a rebound on Wednesday, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.18% to 3,946 points, while the ChiNext Index increased by 0.25%[16] - U.S. stocks experienced volatility but closed higher, with the Nasdaq rising by 0.6% and the S&P 500 up by 0.4%[11] - European markets saw slight declines, with the Stoxx 600 index down by 0.03%[11] Economic Indicators - U.S. crude oil inventories increased, leading to a drop in international oil prices by over 2%, with WTI crude at $59.44 per barrel[28] - The U.S. dollar index rose above 100, reflecting a decrease in expectations for a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve[28] - The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in August, with exports slightly up and imports experiencing the largest decline in four months[6] Corporate Performance - Nvidia (NVDA US) reported Q3 revenue of $57 billion, exceeding guidance by 3.5%, with Q4 revenue guidance set at $66.3 billion[9] - Futu Holdings (FUTU US) achieved Q3 revenue of HKD 6.403 billion, a year-on-year increase of 86.3%[9] - Kuaishou (1024 HK) reported Q3 revenue growth of 14.2% to RMB 35.6 billion, with adjusted net profit up 26.3%[15] Sector Performance - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.69%, marking a new low since early September[12] - The energy sector showed positive performance, with oil and coal stocks generally rising amid broader market declines[12] - The materials sector in A-shares rose by 2.9%, while the real estate sector declined by 2.2%[17] Future Outlook - The market is expected to remain cautious as companies assess the impact of tariffs and geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China[6] - Analysts suggest monitoring government equity participation opportunities as a potential strategy amid ongoing corporate-government conflicts over tariffs[6]

Core Insights - The retail prices of major Chinese liquor brands have shown a slight decline recently, with the overall price for a package of ten top products dropping to 9,254 yuan, a decrease of 7 yuan from the previous day [1] - Notably, the prices of Guizhou Moutai's Feitian and premium liquor have both increased by 1 yuan per bottle, while the leading price increase was observed in Guojiao 1573, which rose by 5 yuan per bottle for the second consecutive day [1][3] - Conversely, significant price drops were noted for Wuliangye's Pu 58 and Guqingong Gu 20, both decreasing by 5 yuan per bottle, with Qinghualang also seeing a decline of 3 yuan per bottle [1][4] Price Changes Summary - Guizhou Moutai (Feitian): 1 yuan increase, priced at 1,840 yuan per bottle [3] - Guizhou Moutai (Premium): 1 yuan increase, priced at 2,387 yuan per bottle [3] - Wuliangye Pu 58: 570 yuan decrease, priced at 860 yuan per bottle [3] - Qinghualang 20: 1 yuan decrease, priced at 391 yuan per bottle [3] - Guojiao 1573: 5 yuan increase, priced at 885 yuan per bottle [3] - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+: 170 yuan increase, priced at 588 yuan per bottle [3] - Guqingong Gu 20: 570 yuan decrease, priced at 515 yuan per bottle [3] Market Analysis - The data indicates a mixed trend in the liquor market, with some brands experiencing price increases while others face declines, suggesting potential volatility in consumer demand and supply chain issues [1][6] - The price tracking system aims to provide accurate and traceable data to promote healthy development in the liquor industry, with a focus on major brands recognized for their market presence and consumer awareness [6][7]

| 成交 | 成交金 | 成交价 | 相对当 日 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 量 | 额 | 格 | 收盘折 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | （万 股） | （万 元） | （元） | 溢价 | | | | | | | （%） | | | | 24.60 | 4515.82 | 183.57 | -6.00 | 机构专用 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司深圳滨 | | | | | | | 河大道证券营业部 | | 20.40 | 3744.83 | 183.57 | -6.00 | 机构专用 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司深圳滨 | | | | | | | 河大道证券营业部 | | 11.10 | 2037.63 | 183.57 | -6.00 | 中信建投证券股份有限公司总部 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司深圳滨 | | | | | | | 河大道证券营业部 | | 10.25 | 1881.59 | 183.57 | -6.00 | 中国银河证券股份有限公司兰州东 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司深圳滨 | | | | | | 岗西路证券营业部 ...

Core Viewpoint - The white liquor industry is experiencing a phase of bottoming out, which aligns with market expectations and is seen as a foundation for future recovery [1] Industry Summary - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3972.03 points, down 0.46% on November 17, while the white liquor sector closed at 2351.84 points, up 0.21% [1] - The performance of individual white liquor stocks varied, with Kweichow Moutai closing at 1471.00 CNY per share, up 0.99%, and Wuliangye closing at 120.15 CNY per share, down 0.05% [1] - Shanxi Fenjiu closed at 198.99 CNY per share, up 1.23%, while Luzhou Laojiao closed at 140.00 CNY per share, up 0.27% [1] - Yanghe Brewery closed at 68.46 CNY per share, down 2.03% [1] Company Summary - Dongwu Securities released a report indicating that the white liquor industry is accelerating its bottoming process, which is expected by the market [1] - The current stage of the white liquor market is beneficial for alleviating previous overly pessimistic sentiments, laying the groundwork for future recovery [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the food and beverage industry [3][8]. Core Insights - The food and beverage industry experienced a slight revenue increase of 0.17% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, but the net profit attributable to shareholders declined by 4.58% [3][15]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a significant decline in both revenue and profit, with revenues dropping by 4.75% year-on-year and net profits decreasing by 14.61% [3][15]. - The report highlights that the macroeconomic policies aimed at boosting domestic demand are expected to lead to a recovery in performance and valuation for the food and beverage sector [16]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The food and beverage sector's overall revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was CNY 8309.16 billion, with a net profit of CNY 1711.64 billion [3][15]. - The third quarter alone generated revenue of CNY 2500.62 billion, with a net profit of CNY 434.96 billion [3][15]. 2. Subsector Performance 2.1 Baijiu (Chinese liquor) - The baijiu sector faced significant pressure, with revenues and net profits declining in the third quarter of 2025 [24]. - Major brands like Moutai and Fenjiu performed relatively well despite the overall downturn [24]. - The report notes a 20%-30% decline in sales during traditional festive periods, with regional variations in performance [24]. 2.2 Beer - The beer sector maintained steady demand, achieving a revenue of CNY 620.52 billion in the first three quarters, up 2.02% year-on-year, and a net profit of CNY 94.84 billion, up 11.82% [29]. - The third quarter saw revenues of CNY 203.20 billion, with a net profit increase of 11.30% [29]. 2.3 Snacks - The snack sector showed positive growth, with revenues and net profits increasing in the third quarter [3][29]. 2.4 Soft Drinks - The soft drink sector experienced a strong performance, particularly in the third quarter, with leading companies showing significant growth [3][29]. 2.5 Dairy Products - The dairy sector continued to face demand challenges, but there were signs of marginal improvement as raw milk prices stabilized [4][29]. 2.6 Condiments - The condiment sector is undergoing intense competition, but leading companies are outperforming the overall market [4][29]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on resilient companies with strong growth potential, such as Dongpeng Beverage, Yili, and Moutai, among others [8][24].