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家变“微型养老院”,居家养老如何“可望又可及”?
3 6 Ke·2025-05-01 03:01

Core Viewpoint - The future of home-based elderly care services in China is expected to become a competitive market similar to the elder care community sector five years ago, but it currently faces three major bottlenecks: unclear profit models, insufficient care services, and the need for industry standards [1][3][5]. Market Overview - As of 2024, the population aged 60 and above in China is projected to reach 310 million, accounting for 22% of the total population, with those aged 65 and above reaching 220 million, or 15.6% [4]. - The current elderly care system in China follows a "9073" model, where 90% of elderly care is home-based, yet less than 1% of the elderly reside in care institutions [2]. Industry Trends - The demand for home-based elderly care is increasing due to the aging population, with a significant shift towards community and home care services [3][5]. - Insurance companies are increasingly entering the home-based elderly care market, adopting a light-asset model to avoid the heavy competition in elder care communities [2][5]. Government Support - The Chinese government has issued multiple policies to promote the development of home-based elderly care services, emphasizing community support and the enhancement of care for disabled elderly individuals [2][5]. Insurance Companies' Strategies - Over 20 insurance companies, including China Ping An and China Taiping, are actively exploring home-based elderly care services, utilizing models such as "insurance + service" and long-term care insurance [2][5][6]. - China Ping An launched its home-based elderly care service brand "Ping An Butler" in September 2022, covering over 85 cities and serving more than 190,000 clients by the end of 2024 [6]. Challenges in the Sector - The home-based elderly care sector faces significant challenges, including a shortage of qualified caregivers, with a reported gap of 5.5 million caregivers needed [17]. - The lack of standardized services and quality control in home care presents difficulties in meeting diverse elderly needs [18][19]. Future Outlook - The home-based elderly care market is expected to experience explosive growth, with projections indicating that the market could exceed 50 billion yuan by 2026, and the overall commercial elderly care market could surpass 200 billion yuan [8]. - Insurance companies are anticipated to integrate home-based elderly care services into their sales systems, driven by the increasing demand for such services [16].