MANGO(SZ:300413) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-01 06:52Core Insights - The company reported its 2024 annual results and Q1 2025 performance, with total revenue for 2024 at 14.08 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year decline of 3.75% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 1.364 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 10%. The non-recurring net profit was 1.645 billion yuan, down 2.99% year-over-year, with a non-recurring net profit margin of 11.7% [2] - Membership revenue for 2024 reached 5.148 billion yuan, up 19% year-over-year, accounting for over 50% of the internet video business revenue. The number of Mango TV members increased to 73.31 million, with a net addition of 6.78 million members, representing a 10% year-over-year growth. The average revenue per user (ARPU) was 6.1 yuan, up from 5.7 yuan in 2023, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase [2] - Advertising revenue for 2024 was 3.438 billion yuan, down 3% year-over-year. The advertising industry is showing signs of recovery, although brand advertising is lagging. Mango TV has maintained its advertising base by providing long-term marketing solutions for leading clients in industries such as dairy, health, and liquor [2] - Revenue from operator services declined to 1.593 billion yuan, down 42% year-over-year, but is expected to benefit from high-quality industry development trends in the long term [2] - New media interactive entertainment content production revenue was 1.262 billion yuan, up 10% year-over-year [2] - E-commerce content revenue was 2.6 billion yuan, down 8% year-over-year, with Xiaomang e-commerce achieving a GMV of 16.1 billion yuan [2] - International revenue from the Mango TV international app reached 141 million yuan in 2024, up from 62 million yuan, driving the export of quality content [2] Group 2: Q1 2025 Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue declined primarily due to a reduction in low-margin traditional e-commerce shopping business and increased investment in drama series, with Q1 revenue at 2.9 billion yuan, down 13% year-over-year [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was 378 million yuan, down 20% year-over-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 303 million yuan, down 35% year-over-year. Investment in drama series increased by 12% in Q1 [3] Group 3: Valuation and Investment Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company of 1.992 billion yuan and 2.373 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively. Based on the PS valuation of streaming video platforms, the reasonable value for Mango TV's streaming business is estimated at 43.7 billion yuan, with IPTV/OTT business valued at 8.5 billion yuan, leading to a total reasonable value of 52.2 billion yuan, corresponding to a price of 27.88 yuan per share, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]