经济学家宋清辉：贸易战中没有真正的赢家 加剧国与国之间不信任

Group 1 - The trade war between the US and China has escalated, with the US imposing tariffs as high as 245% on Chinese goods and China retaliating with 125% tariffs, posing a significant challenge to global economic stability and prosperity [3][4] - China, with its large domestic market of over a billion people, is better positioned to absorb the pressures from tariffs compared to the US [3] - The essence of trade is based on comparative advantages and mutual exchange, while tariffs distort market signals and hinder resource allocation efficiency [3][5] Group 2 - The trade war has had a substantial negative impact on the US economy, increasing import costs for American businesses and leading to higher consumer prices, which in turn diminishes purchasing power [4] - US exporters reliant on the Chinese market, particularly in agriculture, automotive, and technology sectors, have faced severe repercussions from retaliatory tariffs, resulting in reduced exports and potential layoffs [4][5] - The uncertainty stemming from the trade war has led to a reduction in investment plans among global companies, threatening long-term economic growth in the US [5] Group 3 - The trade conflict has caused widespread negative spillover effects on the global economy, disrupting supply chains and prompting multinational companies to reassess their production strategies, which increases costs and reduces efficiency [5][6] - The trade war has not resolved underlying structural issues such as intellectual property protection and forced technology transfers, but rather intensified distrust between nations, complicating dialogue and cooperation [6][7] - The politicization of trade issues may extend tensions into technology, investment, and cultural exchanges, posing new challenges to global peace and development [6][7]