拓普集团(601689)：一季度业绩承压 机器人平台化布局加速

Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.768 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.4% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 565 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.39% [1] - The gross profit margin was 19.89%, down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, but up 0.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The net profit margin was 9.81%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year and down 0.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Operational Analysis - The company's performance in Q1 2025 was under pressure due to lower-than-expected shipments from downstream customers [2] - Expense ratios for sales, management, finance, and R&D were 1.19%, 3.30%, 0.10%, and 5.93% respectively, with year-on-year changes of -0.2 percentage points, +0.5 percentage points, -0.6 percentage points, and +1.4 percentage points [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities was 888 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 93.64%, mainly due to increased cash received from sales of goods and services [2] Future Outlook - The company is actively optimizing its global industrial layout, with factories in Thailand, Mexico, and Poland preparing to expand capacity [3] - The first phase of the Thailand factory, covering 185 acres, is scheduled to start production in early 2026 [3] - The company is advancing its product platform strategy in the smart electric vehicle sector, with eight major business segments and a single vehicle matching amount of approximately 30,000 yuan [3] - A new electric drive division has been established to enter the embodied intelligent robotics business, with a project for a robotics industrial base covering about 150 acres set to start in 2025 [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue is projected to be 33.653 billion yuan, 41.798 billion yuan, and 50.513 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 26%, 24%, and 21% respectively [4] - Net profit is expected to be 3.587 billion yuan, 4.584 billion yuan, and 5.708 billion yuan for the same period, with year-on-year growth rates of 20%, 28%, and 25% respectively [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating [4]