Energy Transfer LP (ET) Q1 Earnings Preview: What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that Energy Transfer LP (ET) will report quarterly earnings of $0.33 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.1%, with anticipated revenues of $23.37 billion, an increase of 8.1% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.8% higher over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Key Metrics Projections - Analysts project 'Midstream - Gathered volumes' to reach 20,742.84 BBtu/D, up from 19,922 BBtu/D year-over-year [5]. - The estimate for 'Midstream - NGLs produced' is 1,074.53 million barrels of oil per day, compared to 890 million barrels of oil per day in the same quarter last year [5]. - 'Midstream - Equity NGLs' is expected to be 61.29 million barrels of oil per day, up from 52 million barrels of oil per day in the same quarter of the previous year [6]. - 'NGL and Refined Products Transportation and Services - NGL and refined products terminal volumes' are projected at 1,435.33 million barrels of oil per day, compared to 1,395 million barrels of oil per day in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'NGL and Refined Products Transportation and Services - NGL fractionation volumes' are expected to reach 1,138.21 million barrels of oil per day, up from 1,053 million barrels of oil per day year-over-year [8]. - 'NGL and Refined Products Transportation and Services - Refined products transportation volumes' are projected at 574.88 million barrels of oil per day, slightly up from 573 million barrels of oil per day in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'NGL and Refined Products Transportation and Services - NGL transportation volumes' are expected to be 2,256.76 million barrels of oil per day, down from 2,087 million barrels of oil per day year-over-year [10]. Adjusted EBITDA Estimates - 'Adjusted EBITDA- Intrastate transportation and storage' is forecasted to reach $317.34 million, compared to $438 million in the same quarter last year [10]. - 'Adjusted EBITDA- Interstate transportation and storage' is expected to be $510.83 million, up from $483 million in the same quarter last year [11]. - 'Adjusted EBITDA- Crude oil transportation and services' is projected at $780.04 million, down from $848 million in the same quarter last year [11]. - 'Adjusted EBITDA- NGL and refined products transportation and services' is expected to reach $1.06 billion, compared to $989 million year-over-year [12]. - 'Adjusted EBITDA- Midstream' is projected at $770.07 million, up from $696 million in the same quarter last year [13]. Stock Performance - Energy Transfer LP shares have decreased by 6.8% in the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's decline of 0.5% [13].