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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Q1 Earnings Preview: What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates
MarathonMarathon(US:MPC) ZACKSยท2025-05-02 14:20

Core Viewpoint - Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.63 per share, a decline of 122.7% year-over-year, with revenues forecasted at $30.09 billion, down 9.4% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.1% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are strongly linked to short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Metrics Forecast - Analysts predict 'Refining & Marketing - Refinery throughputs - Net refinery throughput' at 2,765.67 million barrels per day, up from 2,664 million barrels per day a year ago [5]. - The estimate for 'Refining & Marketing - Refinery throughputs - Crude oil refined' is 2,513.68 million barrels per day, compared to 2,427 million barrels per day last year [5]. - 'Refining & Marketing - Refinery throughputs - Other charge and blendstocks' is expected to reach 250.81 million barrels per day, up from 237 million barrels per day in the same quarter last year [6]. - The consensus estimate for 'Income from operations- Refining & Marketing' is -$561.74 million, down from $766 million year-over-year [6]. - 'Income from operations- Midstream' is forecasted at $1.34 billion, compared to $1.25 billion last year [7]. - 'Adjusted EBITDA- Refining & Marketing' is expected to be $286.27 million, significantly lower than $1.87 billion from the previous year [7]. - 'Adjusted EBITDA- Midstream' is projected at $1.68 billion, compared to $1.59 billion in the same quarter last year [8]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Marathon Petroleum have increased by 7.1%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has decreased by 0.5% [9]. - Currently, MPC holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [9].