Toyota(US:TM) ZACKS·2025-05-02 15:45Core Viewpoint - Toyota Motor Corporation is expected to report a significant decline in earnings for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with a consensus estimate of $2.92 per share, reflecting a 41.48% decrease year-over-year, despite projected revenue growth of 5.24% to $78.47 billion [1][2]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Toyota's fourth-quarter earnings per share has decreased by $1.17 over the past 90 days [1]. - In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, Toyota reported adjusted earnings of $9.98 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $4.36, and revenues of $81.35 billion, surpassing the estimate of $78.36 billion but down from $81.54 billion year-over-year [2]. Sales Performance - In the fiscal fourth quarter, Toyota sold 570,269 vehicles in the United States, a 0.9% increase year-over-year, and 321,067 vehicles in Europe, a 0.4% increase year-over-year, contributing positively to revenue growth [3]. Revenue Projections - Estimated revenues from Japan are projected at ¥5.13 trillion, up from ¥4.88 trillion year-over-year [4]. - Estimated revenues from North America are pegged at ¥4.55 trillion, an increase from ¥4.39 trillion in the previous year [4]. - Estimated revenues from Europe are expected to decline to ¥1.46 trillion from ¥1.50 trillion year-over-year [5]. - Estimated revenues from Asia are projected to rise to ¥2.14 trillion from ¥2.05 trillion year-over-year [5]. - Estimated revenues from Other regions are expected to decline to ¥1.11 trillion from ¥1.23 trillion year-over-year [5]. Operating Income Expectations - Toyota anticipates an operating income of ¥4.7 trillion for fiscal 2025, indicating a 12.2% contraction year-over-year, primarily due to investments in human resources and growth areas impacting profits [6]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Toyota, as it lacks the necessary combination of positive Earnings ESP and a favorable Zacks Rank [7][8].