GemPharmatech (SH:688046) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-04 00:32Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 687 million yuan for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.39%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 30.89% to 110 million yuan [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 171 million yuan, up 8.76% year-over-year, with a net profit of 30 million yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 1.7% [1] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from the commercialization of mouse models was 400 million yuan, up 9.0% year-over-year; functional efficacy revenue was 150 million yuan, up 14.6%; custom breeding revenue was 85 million yuan, up 8.0%; and model customization revenue was 34 million yuan, down 3.4% [2] - The overall gross margin for the main business in 2024 was 62.0%, a decrease of 5.6 percentage points from 2023 [2] Regional Performance - Domestic revenue reached 572 million yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 59.4%, reflecting an 8.3% year-over-year increase [3] - The company expanded its overseas market, generating 114 million yuan in revenue, a 22.5% year-over-year increase, with a gross margin of 75.3%, outperforming domestic business [3] - The overall sales expense ratio increased by 2.39 percentage points to 15.60%, impacting net profit, although the sales net profit margin improved in Q1 2025 to 17.55%, up 1.56 percentage points from 2024 [3] Global Capacity Planning - By the end of 2024, the company had seven major bases in China with a total capacity of approximately 280,000 cages, achieving full coverage [4] - New production capacity of 80,000 cages in Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangdong was nearly fully utilized [4] - The company plans to enhance its overseas presence by seeking suitable areas in Europe for animal facility leasing, in addition to its existing facility in San Diego, USA [4] - The company has established sales in over 20 countries and collaborated with eight of the top ten global pharmaceutical companies, while also adding over 200 research users and 600 industrial clients domestically, and 80 research users and 90 industrial clients overseas [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to weak global biopharmaceutical R&D investment and increased overseas expenditures, the EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 0.34 yuan and 0.40 yuan, respectively, representing reductions of 48% and 50% [4] - An additional EPS forecast for 2027 is set at 0.47 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 33, 28, and 24 for 2025-2027 [4] - Given the significant stock price correction and the current low valuation, along with steady progress in overseas business, the company maintains a "buy" rating [4]