Core Viewpoint - The market is currently in a bearish trend, with short-term bearish sentiment dominating, and a need for the index to close above certain levels to indicate strength [1][7]. Technical Analysis - Weekly chart shows a small bearish candlestick pattern, indicating a potential weak market; the closing price is below key support levels [3][5]. - Volume has decreased, and key indicators such as MACD and KDJ are showing bearish signals, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend [3][5]. - The monthly and weekly moving averages indicate that the market needs to stabilize above certain levels (e.g., 5-week moving average at 3273) for a potential reversal [5][6]. Trading Strategy - The strategy involves oscillating between upper and lower gaps, with a focus on short-term trading; bullish positions are favored if the market can fill the upper gap, while bearish positions are considered if the lower gap is filled [4]. Key Levels - Critical levels for next week include: - Life lines: Monthly at 3236, weekly at 3302, and daily at 3282 [6]. - Resistance levels: 3292, 3317, with strong resistance between 3327-3342 [8]. - Support levels: 3273, 3257, with strong support between 3233-3193 [8]. Summary of Market Sentiment - The market is currently viewed as weak, with a need for a close above 3300 to be acceptable, above 3320 for a bullish advantage, and above 3340 for strong bullish sentiment; closing below 3260 indicates a strong bearish trend [7].
周评:收出阴孕线后面临强弱选择
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-05-04 11:27