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人民币汇率大涨,突破7.2!A50直线拉升
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-05-05 03:43

Core Viewpoint - The offshore RMB has surpassed the 7.20 mark against the USD for the first time since November last year, indicating a significant appreciation in the currency's value [1]. Group 1: Currency Movements - The offshore RMB rose over 130 points, breaking the 7.20 threshold against the USD [1]. - The New Taiwan Dollar also experienced a significant increase, with the USD/TWD exchange rate dropping to 29.50, a 3.95% decline, marking the highest level since February 8, 2023 [1]. Group 2: Economic Fundamentals - According to Guo Tao, Chief Economist at Bank of China, the foundation for maintaining a stable RMB exchange rate remains solid, supported by domestic economic recovery and confidence [2]. - Positive factors such as policy shifts since late last year, risk mitigation, and technological empowerment are contributing to the stability of the RMB [2]. - China possesses significant institutional advantages, including a large market, complete industrial system, and effective governance mechanisms, which bolster its ability to withstand external shocks [2]. Group 3: Capital Market Insights - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has emphasized its commitment to maintaining a stable RMB exchange rate, with a clear policy stance and the capability to manage market expectations [3]. - The PBOC has substantial foreign exchange reserves of $3 trillion, enhancing its ability to stabilize the RMB in offshore markets [2]. Group 4: Cross-Border RMB Usage - In Q1, cross-border RMB transactions with Malaysia reached 102 billion RMB, a 27% year-on-year increase, while transactions with Cambodia grew by 45% to 5 billion RMB [4]. - The surge in cross-border RMB usage reflects deepening monetary sovereignty and industrial trust between China and its trade partners [4]. - The RMB is forming a new model of trade dominance within the RCEP framework, linking projects and finance [4].