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江苏国泰(002091):业绩符合市场预期 加速拓展新兴市场

Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 38.956 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.106 billion yuan, a decrease of 31.0% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 8.875 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.4% but a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 242 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.3% and a year-on-year increase of 13.8% [1] - The subsidiary, Ruitai New Materials, faced significant declines in revenue and profit in 2024, with revenue of 2.102 billion yuan, down 43.5% year-on-year, and net profit of 84.6 million yuan, down 81.9% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The textile and apparel industry in China demonstrated resilience in 2024, with exports reaching 301.13 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [2] - The company plans to expand into emerging markets such as Southeast Asia and Africa to reduce reliance on traditional markets, with overseas revenue accounting for 82.52% of main business income in 2024 [2] - The battery materials market is experiencing increased demand due to the growth in the power and energy storage sectors, but competition is intensifying, leading to price declines [2] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its 2025 net profit forecast down by 22% to 1.378 billion yuan and introduced a new forecast for 2026 at 1.488 billion yuan [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.5x for 2025 and 7.8x for 2026, with a target price of 9.2 yuan indicating a potential upside of 28.5% from the current price [3]