关税战骤然升级，特朗普通电全球，哪怕衰退，也要跟中国拼到底

Core Viewpoint - Trump's aggressive tariff policies are aimed at curbing China's economic rise, with tariffs on Chinese goods reaching as high as 50%, which could significantly impact global trade dynamics and the economies of allied nations [3][5][11]. Group 1: Tariff Policies and Economic Impact - Trump's tariffs are described as a "nuclear weapon" against China, with the potential to cause inflation in the U.S. and disrupt global supply chains, affecting major companies like Apple and Nike [5][11]. - The trade war is expected to lead to increased costs for American consumers, with warnings from analysts about the potential for a significant rise in inflation [5][13]. - The ongoing tariff battle is likely to have a detrimental effect on the global economy, with the International Monetary Fund lowering growth forecasts and predicting a possible recession by 2026 if the trade war escalates [13][19]. Group 2: Reactions from Allies and Global Trade - European allies, while frustrated with U.S. unilateralism, are compelled to comply with Trump's demands to impose tariffs on Chinese goods, despite the negative impact on their own economies [7][9]. - Countries in Southeast Asia and Latin America, which have benefited from U.S.-China trade, are now facing challenges as the trade war escalates, leading to increased costs and disrupted markets [9][11]. - China's response includes a focus on domestic demand and investment in key sectors like renewable energy and semiconductors, indicating a strategic shift to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs [11][17]. Group 3: Long-term Implications - The trade war is characterized as a long-term struggle for economic dominance, with both the U.S. and China unwilling to back down, potentially leading to significant global economic consequences [15][17]. - The conflict is expected to create a challenging environment for global consumers, with rising prices and potential job losses in the U.S. as a result of the tariffs [15][19]. - The outcome of this trade war remains uncertain, with both nations facing risks, and the ultimate impact likely to be felt globally rather than just between the U.S. and China [17][19].