STARTRADER：美联储决议前避险情绪升温，美元兑日元或将再次走弱

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the rising risk aversion in global markets driven by geopolitical tensions and divergent monetary policies, particularly affecting the Japanese yen [1][3] - The Bank of Japan has lowered its economic growth and inflation forecasts while maintaining short-term interest rates, indicating a potential for future rate hikes, creating a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish sentiments for the yen [3] - The Federal Reserve has not signaled a clear intention to cut rates, with strong service sector PMI and labor market data supporting the dollar, leading to increased volatility in the USD/JPY exchange rate [3] Group 2 - The USD/JPY exchange rate has faced resistance at key technical levels, specifically around 144.25 and 144.30, which has resulted in a confirmed short-term downtrend after breaking below the 144.00 level [3][4] - The market is currently focused on the support level at 143.50; a break below this could lead to further declines towards 143.00 and 142.65, while a rebound above 144.30 could trigger a short-covering rally [4] - The interplay of rising geopolitical risks and the Fed's neutral stance is driving a revaluation of the yen's safe-haven status, suggesting that even with the Bank of Japan's accommodative policy, demand for the yen may increase due to deteriorating global risk appetite [4]