Three Squirrels(SZ:300783) Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao·2025-05-06 08:46Core Viewpoint - The recent financial data of Three Squirrels (300783.SZ) raises concerns about investor confidence as the company applies for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, showing revenue growth but a significant decline in net profit [2][6]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Three Squirrels reported revenue of 3.723 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.13%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 239 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.46% [2]. - The company aims to achieve a revenue target of 20 billion yuan by 2026, with 10 billion yuan from online and offline sales each [9][11]. Historical Growth - Three Squirrels experienced rapid growth from 2015 to 2018, with revenue increasing from 2.043 billion yuan to 7.001 billion yuan, representing a 242% growth over three years [5]. - The company became the first domestic snack company to reach a revenue of 10 billion yuan in 2019, with a market capitalization peak of 36 billion yuan in May 2020 [5][6]. Market Challenges - Since 2020, Three Squirrels has faced a decline in revenue for four consecutive years, dropping from 9.794 billion yuan to 7.115 billion yuan [6]. - The company's stock market value has decreased by 70%, falling to 10.7 billion yuan as of April 30, 2024 [7]. Online vs. Offline Sales - In 2024, online sales accounted for approximately 74.07 billion yuan, making up 69.73% of total revenue, while offline sales remain underdeveloped [7][9]. - The company has struggled to expand its offline presence, with a significant gap compared to competitors like Good Products, which has 2,700 offline stores [8]. Strategic Initiatives - To strengthen its offline market, Three Squirrels plans to open flagship stores and provide support to franchisees, aiming to enhance brand visibility and attract more partners [13]. - The company is diversifying its product offerings, including pet food and ready-to-eat meals, and plans to invest in these areas through the funds raised from the IPO [14][16]. Supply Chain and Production - Three Squirrels aims to improve its supply chain by establishing new production bases and expanding production capacity, including plans for factories in various regions of China and Vietnam [16]. - The company is also focusing on strategic alliances and acquisitions to enhance control over key segments of the value chain [17]. Marketing and Brand Awareness - The company has significantly increased its marketing expenditures, with total sales expenses reaching 10.72 billion yuan from 2019 to 2024, including nearly 6 billion yuan on advertising [17]. - Three Squirrels plans to enhance brand awareness through advertising on short video platforms and e-commerce channels [18].