美联储将在重压下召开议息会议，市场普遍预计不降息

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve will hold a two-day monetary policy meeting starting May 6, marking the first meeting after President Trump threatened to dismiss Chairman Jerome Powell [2] - Market expectations indicate a 96.9% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain current interest rates, with only a 3.1% chance of a 25 basis point cut [2] - The U.S. labor department reported an increase of 177,000 non-farm jobs in April, exceeding the expected 130,000, which supports the Fed's decision to keep rates unchanged [4] Group 2 - Powell highlighted that the U.S. government's tariff increases could complicate the Fed's dual mandate of promoting employment and stabilizing prices [4] - Trump's pressure for a rate cut has intensified, as he claims there is no inflation in the U.S., despite Powell's stance of waiting for clearer economic signals before making policy adjustments [5][6] - Analysts believe that Trump's ongoing pressure may make it more difficult for the Fed to lower rates, as the Fed aims to maintain its independence [5]