中邮证券：给予联美控股增持评级

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that Lianmei Holdings (600167) is expected to face a decline in net profit due to impairment losses, but maintains a stable dividend policy, leading to an "Accumulate" rating from Zhongyou Securities [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 3.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 660 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.3% [1]. - For Q4 2024, revenue was 1.21 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.3% and a year-on-year increase of 248.3%. Net profit for the same period was 150 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 26.8% and a year-on-year increase of 390.4% [1]. - In Q1 2025, revenue was 1.70 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.1%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 620 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [1]. Profitability and Costs - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin and net margin were 49.3% and 37.0%, respectively, reflecting increases of 4.6 percentage points and 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company experienced an overall increase of 1.6 percentage points in expense ratios, with sales expense ratio at 1.1%, R&D expense ratio at 0.2%, management expense ratio at 2.2%, and financial expense ratio at -1.0% [2]. Cash Flow and Dividends - In 2024, the company generated a net cash flow from operating activities of 1.30 billion yuan, with cash on hand amounting to 7.48 billion yuan [2]. - Total cash dividends, special dividends, and buyback amounts for 2024 were 440 million yuan, 270 million yuan, and 190 million yuan, respectively, totaling 910 million yuan, resulting in a dividend yield of 6.8% based on the closing price on April 30, 2025 [2]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.74 billion yuan, 4.03 billion yuan, and 4.40 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of 780 million yuan, 860 million yuan, and 960 million yuan for the same years [3]. - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) are expected to be 17, 15, and 14 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3].