中美博弈耐力赛：美国中期选举施压，特朗普会先“扛不住”？

Group 1 - The current trade dynamics between the US and the Eastern power are characterized by a complex interplay of trade disputes and political pressures, leading to a tense situation where the US has financial resources but struggles to acquire goods from the Eastern power, while the Eastern power has abundant goods but faces challenges in earning revenue from the US market [1][2]. - The Eastern power's goods face significant barriers in the US market due to high tariffs and stringent trade regulations, which are exacerbated by the US's protectionist policies aimed at reducing reliance on Eastern products [2][3]. - The US is under considerable pressure from midterm elections, with economic issues such as inflation and supply chain bottlenecks contributing to public dissatisfaction, which complicates the government's ability to effectively address trade relations with the Eastern power [2][3]. Group 2 - The Eastern power demonstrates strong resilience in this trade competition, supported by a complete industrial system and a large domestic market, allowing it to maintain relative economic stability despite external pressures [3]. - Significant achievements in technological innovation, particularly in areas like 5G, artificial intelligence, and renewable energy, have bolstered the Eastern power's economic development and enhanced its position in the global supply chain [3]. - The Eastern power is actively pursuing cooperation with other countries, particularly along the Belt and Road Initiative, to diversify its international market presence and reduce dependence on the US market, thereby increasing its resilience to economic risks [3].