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中泰证券(600918):2024年及1Q25业绩点评:自营拖累24年业绩 1Q25净利润双位数增长

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtai Securities reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with a slight recovery in Q1 2025, indicating challenges in proprietary trading but growth in brokerage and asset management services [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Zhongtai Securities achieved operating revenue of 10.89 billion, down 14.7% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 940 million, down 47.9% year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 370 million, up 11.6% year-on-year, and revenue of 2.54 billion, up 0.2% year-on-year [1]. - The main revenue breakdown for 2024 included brokerage, investment banking, asset management, net interest, and net investment income, totaling 9.49 billion, with year-on-year changes of +13.2%, -30.2%, +4.2%, -2.7%, and -53.1% respectively [1]. Asset Management and Investment - As of the end of 2024, total assets were 224.7 billion, up 14.8% year-on-year, while net assets were 42.7 billion, up 7.0% year-on-year [2]. - The investment asset scale was 73.7 billion at the end of 2024, up 7.5% year-on-year, with a significant increase in other equity instruments [2]. - Investment net income for 2024 was 1.32 billion, down 53.1% year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in the fair value of alternative investment projects [2]. Brokerage and Financing Business - The brokerage business saw a slight decrease in market share, with a trading volume of 11.5 trillion in 2024, up 13.5% year-on-year, and a market share of 1.97%, down 0.15 percentage points [3]. - Margin financing and securities lending revenue was 1.87 billion, down 7.1% year-on-year, with a year-end balance of 37.6 billion, up 14.4% year-on-year [3]. Asset Management Performance - The asset management business generated revenue of 2.07 billion in 2024, up 4.2% year-on-year, with a slight increase in Q1 2025 revenue to 540 million, up 12.2% year-on-year [4]. - The AUM for Wanji Fund, in which Zhongtai holds a 60% stake, was 156.3 billion at the end of Q1 2025, down 6.4% from the beginning of the year [4]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 1.83 billion, 1.84 billion, and 1.99 billion respectively, indicating a growth of 95%, 0.5%, and 9% year-on-year [4].