没按美国的剧本走？比尔盖茨预言或成真：中国不要美国芯片了

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. attempts to use its chip technology advantage to impose sanctions on China, aiming to weaken China's semiconductor industry and maintain its technological dominance, but these efforts have inadvertently spurred China's determination to develop its own semiconductor capabilities [1][3][5]. Group 1: Impact of U.S. Sanctions - U.S. sanctions and export controls have not subdued China's semiconductor industry; instead, they have ignited a strong resolve within China to advance its semiconductor capabilities [3][9]. - Bill Gates predicted that unilateral U.S. sanctions would not protect American chip companies but would instead stimulate the rise of Chinese enterprises, potentially harming the U.S. chip industry in the long run [3][5]. Group 2: China's Semiconductor Advancements - In response to U.S. sanctions, China has made significant strides in its semiconductor industry, achieving breakthroughs in chip design, manufacturing, and packaging, with a focus on self-innovation and technology development [5][9]. - Huawei successfully developed its own Kirin chips despite severe restrictions, exemplified by the launch of the Mate60 series, which surprised the global market [7]. - SMIC has also achieved a breakthrough in 14nm technology despite restrictions on importing advanced EUV lithography machines from ASML [7]. Group 3: Future Projections - China's semiconductor self-sufficiency rate is projected to reach 70% within five years, indicating a significant improvement in its domestic production capabilities [10]. - By 2024, China's chip exports are expected to reach new highs, positioning the country as a leading player in the global semiconductor market [10].