美联储利率决议倒计时 高盛预计年内还会降息3次

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs predicts that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates three times in the coming months, specifically in July, September, and October, totaling a reduction of 75 basis points [1] - The report indicates that despite a pessimistic outlook from economic surveys, the Federal Reserve is likely to wait for strong signals from the labor market before making any monetary moves [1] - U.S. economic indicators are mixed, with 177,000 new jobs added in April, exceeding market expectations, while the unemployment rate remains stable at 4.2% [1] Group 2 - Consumer confidence in the U.S. has sharply declined, with the confidence index dropping to 86 points in April, the lowest level in 13 years, primarily due to growing concerns over tariffs [1] - Job vacancies fell to 7.19 million as of the end of March, the lowest level since September 2024, and below the market expectation of 7.5 million [1] - The U.S. economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter, marking the first decline in three years [1] Group 3 - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has warned about the complex impacts of tariffs, suggesting they may hinder the Fed's dual goals of stabilizing prices and stimulating economic growth [1] - President Donald Trump has intensified pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, having directly criticized Powell and threatened to dismiss him, although he later retracted this statement [2] - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce its latest interest rate decision, with the market anticipating that the Fed will remain on hold for now [2]