3 6 Ke·2025-05-07 11:50Core Viewpoint - The announcement by Trump to impose a 100% tariff on films produced abroad and entering the U.S. is aimed at protecting the domestic film industry, citing national security concerns and the need to combat excessive foreign influence in media [2][3]. Group 1: Impact on Hollywood - Following the tariff announcement, stock prices of major Hollywood studios dropped significantly, with Paramount down 2.2%, Disney 2.4%, Netflix 3.3%, and Warner Bros. 4.2% [3]. - The U.S. film industry has been gradually moving production overseas due to high labor costs, particularly in California, where Hollywood is located [5][8]. - The 2023 strike in Hollywood highlighted the industry's reliance on labor, with discussions around job losses due to the rise of artificial intelligence [5][24]. Group 2: Global Film Production Trends - As of October 2024, 120 countries and regions have implemented film production incentive policies to attract projects, benefiting from increased investment and job creation [11]. - Countries like Spain and Iceland have reported high returns on investment for film incentives, with Spain achieving a return index of 9 from 2019 to 2022 [12]. - Since 2022, U.S. film production has decreased by 26%, while global film production has surged, with a 34% year-on-year growth in the first quarter of 2025 [13]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The cost savings from relocating film projects can range from 20% to 40%, prompting many major productions to move overseas [22][23]. - Upcoming Hollywood films, such as "Mission: Impossible 8" and "Avatar 3," are being produced in countries like the UK and New Zealand, respectively [23]. - The shift in production has resulted in a significant decline in job opportunities for U.S. film industry workers, with a 25% reduction in employment over the past three years [24]. Group 4: Political Context - Trump's policies appear to be more about political maneuvering against Hollywood, which has historically opposed him, rather than genuine concern for the industry [25][28]. - The imposition of tariffs may provoke retaliatory measures from other countries, potentially harming the U.S. film industry's global standing [31][35]. - The announcement of the tariff was quickly followed by a statement from the White House indicating that the policy was not finalized, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding Trump's trade strategies [37].