贺博生：5.8黄金原油震荡回落最新行情走势分析及今日独家操作建议

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices fell over 1% during the U.S. trading session on May 7, reflecting a retreat from recent highs due to optimistic sentiment surrounding U.S.-China trade negotiations and expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's policy statement [2] - Market participants are awaiting the Federal Reserve's decision, which is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged; dovish signals from Powell could boost gold prices, while hawkish tones may exert downward pressure [2][3] - Despite the short-term pullback in gold prices, the broader outlook remains neutral to bullish, supported by potential rate cuts and geopolitical instability that could revive buying interest [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The daily chart indicates a potential adjustment phase following three consecutive bullish days, with a possibility of a significant decline below 3300 if a bearish engulfing pattern occurs [3] - Short-term support is identified at 3355; if this level holds, there may be opportunities to go long, targeting 3400, with a further potential rise to 3430 if conditions allow [5] - The current trading range is between 3400 and 3360, with a focus on the 3360 support level; a break below this could indicate a shift in short-term trend [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - Brent crude oil prices rebounded to $63 per barrel, while WTI approached $60, reflecting over a 3% increase due to easing trade concerns and optimistic global economic recovery expectations [6] - The rise in oil prices is attributed to a combination of improved trade sentiment and declining U.S. inventory levels, with technical indicators suggesting a bullish short-term outlook [6] - Long-term stability in the global energy market relies on supply-demand balance and economic recovery rather than isolated events; a breakthrough above $62 could signal a new upward trend [6] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The mid-term trend for oil prices is downward, with potential further declines towards the 50 level, while short-term movements show a rebound towards 60 [7] - The MACD indicator suggests that bullish momentum is present, although the strength of this momentum is lacking; the expectation is for continued upward movement in the short term [7] - Today's trading strategy recommends focusing on buying on dips while considering selling on rebounds, with key resistance at 59.7-60.2 and support at 56.5-56.0 [7]