政策托市VS关税博弈，红利资产或迎配置良机

Group 1 - The A-share market is currently experiencing a coexistence of policy benefits and market volatility, with all three major indices showing positive performance in the morning session [1] - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF Bosera (513690) and the Low Volatility 100 ETF (159307) have shown relatively stable performance, maintaining prices close to the previous day's closing [1] Group 2 - The core goal of recent policies is to stabilize the market and expectations, emphasizing support rather than aggressive growth, with interest rate cuts primarily benefiting public housing loans rather than commercial loans [3][4] - The market sentiment is leaning towards defensive strategies, favoring dividend stocks due to their stability amid fundamental pressures and tariff negotiations [4][5] Group 3 - The logic behind the preference for dividend stocks includes lower interest rates making dividends more attractive, with the dividend yield of dividend indices at 6.5% compared to a 1.63% yield on ten-year government bonds [5] - There is a surge in demand for safe-haven assets, as dividend assets exhibit lower volatility and stable dividends, with institutions using them as a substitute for bonds [6] Group 4 - The technical outlook indicates that the Low Volatility 100 Index has found support near previous lows and is showing signs of recovery, with prices above several short-term moving averages [9] - The market is expected to continue rotating between "dividend defense" and "technology rebound," with key factors being the outcome of US-China negotiations and the extent of domestic fiscal stimulus [10]