美联储维持利率不变，预期6月降息概率增加

Group 1 - Spot gold has slightly rebounded, currently trading around $3375.58 per ounce after a nearly 2% drop on Wednesday, falling below the $3400 mark [1] - The lowest price during the session was $3360.18 per ounce, with a closing price of $3364.32 per ounce, influenced by optimistic sentiments regarding international trade negotiations [1] - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, but Chairman Powell's remarks were more hawkish than market expectations, leading to the largest single-day increase in the dollar index in nearly two weeks, which pressured gold prices [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged reflects increasing risks of rising inflation and unemployment, amid uncertainties regarding the impact of Trump's tariff policies [3] - Powell indicated that the economic outlook remains unclear, with uncertainty surrounding the potential effects of Trump's policy agenda, which complicates the Fed's monetary policy response [3] - The FOMC unanimously agreed to maintain the target range for the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50% [3] Group 3 - The market's initial reaction to the Fed's statement was muted, as there are concerns about rising inflation and unemployment risks, although there is still buying support for gold [4] - Official data shows that the People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for the sixth consecutive month in April, boosting bullish sentiment for gold [4] - Bank of America forecasts limited short-term upside for gold prices but expects them to rise again in the second half of 2025, potentially reaching $4000 [4]