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海天精工(601882):Q1盈利能力有所下降 期待制造业筑底修复

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in both revenue and profit for Q1 2025, primarily due to weak demand and intense industry price competition [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 740 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.17% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 99 million yuan, down 24.17% year-on-year - Non-recurring net profit was 85 million yuan, a decline of 20.35% year-on-year [1] Profitability Analysis - Gross margin for Q1 2025 was approximately 25.93%, a decrease of 0.46 percentage points year-on-year - Net margin for Q1 2025 was about 13.37%, down 3.88 percentage points year-on-year - The significant drop in net margin was attributed to: 1. Increase in operating expense ratio by 1.99 percentage points to 10.85% 2. Decrease in other income by approximately 6.7 million yuan 3. Reduction in investment income by about 3.33 million yuan 4. Increase in asset impairment losses by approximately 2.35 million yuan [2] Cash Flow and R&D Investment - Operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 12 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 106.33% - R&D expenses for Q1 2025 reached 36 million yuan, an increase of 8.08% year-on-year, maintaining a high R&D expense ratio of 4.85% - Continuous R&D investment is crucial for enhancing product competitiveness and advancing core component self-research [3] Strategic Outlook - The machine tool industry is likely at the bottom of its cycle, with potential demand growth from policies like "Two New" and "Two Heavy" - The company is expanding its product line and upgrading technology through sustained R&D investment - Production capacity will be enhanced at the Guangdong subsidiary, and the Ningbo high-end CNC machine tool intelligent production base project is progressing - Global marketing efforts are being established, with subsidiaries in Germany and Serbia already set up - As manufacturing industry conditions improve, the company's performance is expected to gradually recover [4] Long-term Projections - Despite short-term performance pressures, the company is expected to benefit from policy opportunities and structural growth - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 555 million yuan, 650 million yuan, and 759 million yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18x, 15x, and 13x [4]