CMSK(SZ:001979) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-08 10:35Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue but achieved robust growth in net profit, indicating a resilient performance despite market challenges [2][6]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 20.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.9% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 450 million yuan, an increase of 34.0% [1]. - The gross margin decreased by 2.7 percentage points to 11.8%, and the expense ratio (excluding R&D expenses) increased by 1.2 percentage points to 7.1% [2]. - The net profit growth was primarily driven by an increase in the proportion of project equity transferred [2][6]. Sales and Land Acquisition - The company recorded sales of 35.1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, down 12.8% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe compared to the previous year [3]. - The total land acquisition amount reached 20 billion yuan, a significant increase of 102.0%, with a land acquisition intensity of 57% [3]. - The company focused on core first- and second-tier cities, with 93% of land acquisition in these areas, ensuring a solid foundation for future sales performance [3]. Financial Stability - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company had a debt-to-asset ratio of 60.5% (excluding advance receipts) and a net debt ratio of 51.1%, indicating a relatively low leverage level [4]. - The average financing cost was 2.99% at the end of 2024, maintaining the lowest level in the industry [4]. - The operational efficiency has been declining but the rate of decline has slowed, suggesting a potential stabilization [4]. Business Development - The asset operation business generated a total income of 7.46 billion yuan in 2024, with a stable EBITDA return rate of 6.42% [5]. - The urban service business achieved revenue of 4.46 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a growth of 19.9% [5]. - The company has established three domestic and international REITs platforms, enhancing the value of its existing assets and maintaining a leading position in exploring new business models [5]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 4.2 billion, 4.5 billion, and 4.9 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19.9X, 18.6X, and 16.9X [6]. - Despite a high apparent P/E ratio, the actual P/B ratio is relatively low, indicating significant long-term value that is not yet reflected in the current valuation [6].