金价突发，反转再反转！

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing significant volatility, with recent fluctuations in prices prompting both short-term adjustments and long-term investment considerations [9][11]. Price Movements - As of May 7, London gold spot prices fell by 1.5%, dropping below the 3380 mark, while COMEX gold futures decreased by nearly 0.9% [1][2]. - On May 8, London spot gold rebounded, reaching a high of 3413.73 USD/oz, indicating a quick recovery in the market [3]. Market Trends - The gold market has undergone a notable adjustment, with jewelry gold prices falling below 1000 CNY, and international gold prices nearly dropping below 3200 USD [6]. - Despite recent declines, many leading brands have seen their gold prices and international gold prices rise again following the holiday period [6]. Institutional Insights - Analysts from Galaxy Securities suggest that while the medium to long-term value of gold remains recognized, short-term price corrections are expected, potentially ranging from 5% to 10% [9]. - The increase in gold prices since early 2025 has been driven by significant inflows into ETFs, with a reported 29.4% rise in the first four months of 2025 [9]. Central Bank Activities - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for six consecutive months, reaching 7.377 million ounces by the end of April, indicating a structural shift in gold allocation [11]. - UBS Wealth Management anticipates that global central banks will purchase approximately 1000 tons of gold by 2025, with ETF net purchases expected to reach 450 tons [11]. Investment Risks - Financial institutions have issued warnings regarding the risks associated with gold price volatility, advising investors to be cautious, especially those using leverage for investments [10][11]. - The current market conditions suggest that gold prices may face pressure from potential Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties [11].