Core Insights - The company's core brand performance is strong, and sales in Europe have stabilized, indicating expectations for future performance recovery [1] Financial Performance - The company maintains a "buy" rating, adjusting the EPS forecast for 2025-26 to 0.82/1.06 yuan from the previous 0.89/1.28 yuan, with growth rates of 53% and 29% respectively, and a forecast EPS of 1.34 yuan for 2027, representing a 27% growth [2] - The 2024 financial summary shows revenue of 10.28 billion yuan, a 56.6% increase, with a net profit of 214 million yuan, down 36.2%, and a non-recurring net profit of 181 million yuan, down 41.3% [2] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 120 million yuan, with a payout ratio of approximately 56% [2] - Quarterly revenue growth rates for 2024 were 44.7%, 55.5%, 63.9%, and 58.7%, while net profit growth rates were 65.6%, 52%, -156%, and -83.5% [2] - The gross margin was 43.8%, down 2.1 percentage points, with apparel and accessories at 47%, down 2.23 percentage points, and non-apparel at 37.9%, down 0.21 percentage points [2] Brand and Market Performance - The apparel and accessories segment generated revenue of 7.45 billion yuan, up 59.4%, accounting for 72.8% of total revenue, while non-apparel revenue was 2.32 billion yuan, up 33.9%, accounting for 22.7% [3] - The logistics service segment saw revenue of 455 million yuan, a significant increase of 261% [3] - Core brands Coofandy and Ekouaer achieved sales of 2.19 billion yuan and 2.08 billion yuan, with growth rates of 50.4% and 61.9% respectively [3] - North America generated revenue of 9.01 billion yuan, up 53.4%, while Europe saw revenue of 700 million yuan, up 40.9%, reversing a downward trend from the previous two years [3] - Amazon accounted for 8.39 billion yuan in revenue, up 45.6%, representing 82.1% of total revenue, with Walmart and self-operated websites contributing 3.77% and 2.89% respectively [3] Recent Quarterly Performance - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 2.46 billion yuan, a 36.7% increase, while net profit was 47 million yuan, down 45.4%, and non-recurring net profit was 41 million yuan, down 42.3% [4] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 43.9%, down 3.28 percentage points, with a net profit margin of 1.91%, down 2.87 percentage points [4] - The quarterly net profit margin showed a recovery trend, increasing from -1.53% in Q3 2024 to 0.54% in Q4 2024, and further to 1.91% in Q1 2025 [4]
赛维时代(301381)2024年报暨2025年一季报点评：业绩阶段承压 静待企稳回升