行业研究丨深度报告丨零售业 [Table_Title] 纵览跨境之三：鉴往知来，再看跨境当下投资机 会 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 跨境电商是一种在海外电商实现终端销售的出口模式，上游方面需提前备货至海外仓，中游运 输层面，涉及清关、干线运输、尾程配送，整体相比传统消费品、以及出口 FOB 模式下环节 多、链条更长，当外部贸易环境出现扰动时，普遍行业盈利能力波动大，根据测算，2024、 2025Q1-Q3 五家样本跨境电商企业收入同比增长 26%、15%，扣非净利润同比下降 46%、增 长 1%，近两年行业盈利能力阶段性承压，本文将对行业进行深度复盘，归因历史行业的波动， 分析当前行业所处的经营周期。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490514080004 SAC：S0490520080019 SAC：S0490524110002 SFC：BUV258 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 24 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 跨境电商是一种在海外电商实现 ...

证券之星消息，2月3日互联网电商板块较上一交易日上涨2.17%，华凯易佰领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4067.74，上涨1.29%。深证成指报收于14127.1，上涨2.19%。互联网电商板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002640 | 跨境通 | 4309.74万 | 10.87% | -2845.57万 | -7.18% | -1464.17万 | -3.69% | | 301558 三态股份 | | 3194.16万 | 9.06% | 1321.90万 | 3.75% | -4516.06万 | -12.81% | | 300592 华凯易佰 | | 2157.38万 | 6.17% | 187.68万 | 0.54% | -2345.05万 | -6.71% | | 002803 | 吉宏股份 | 1638.55万 | 6.70% | -1218.13万 | -4.98 ...

证券之星消息，2月2日互联网电商板块较上一交易日下跌1.48%，赛维时代领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4015.75，下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35，下跌2.69%。互联网电商板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300792 | 壹网壹创 | 44.41 | 4.03% | 21.74万 | | 9.53亿 | | 300518 | 新迅达 | 20.68 | 2.73% | 9.52万 | | 1.99亿 | | 301001 | 凯淳股份 | 36.13 | 2.32% | 7.65万 | | 2.78亿 | | 600365 | ST通葡 | 3.02 | 1.00% | 6 5.72万 | | 1729.86万 | | 301558 | 三态股份 | 9.24 | 0.98% | 32.55万 | | 3.02亿 | | 300464 | 星徽股份 | 6.78 | 0.89% | 21.64万 | | 1.49亿 | | 6 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 02 01 年 月 日 商贸零售 商社板块 2025 年四季度前瞻 1. 零售板块四季度前瞻： （1）黄金珠宝：①老凤祥：我们预计 25Q4 归母净利增速-15%至 5%。 ②周大生：我们预计 25Q4 归母净利增速 15%至 30%。③潮宏基：公司 预告 2025 年归母净利润 4.36 亿-5.33 亿元同比增 125%-175%，测算 25Q4 归母净利润 1.2-2.2 亿元；2025 年底潮宏基珠宝门店总数 1668 家， 年内净增 163 家。④菜百股份：公司预告 2025 年归母净利润 10.6 亿-12.3 亿，对应 25Q4 归母净利增速 150%-254%。⑤豫园股份：公司预告 25Q4 归母亏损 43.12 亿元，24 年同期亏损 10.3 亿元，主因公司持续瘦身健体， 对部分存在减值迹象的房地产项目及商誉等计提资产减值准备。 （2）潮玩：名创优品：我们预计 25Q4 收入增速 25%-30%，经调整 OP 同比双位数增长，经调整归母净利增速 10%至 20%。 （3）商超百货：①重庆百货：公司预告 2025 年归母净利 1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on sub-sectors with performance elasticity during the upcoming Spring Festival peak season, including duty-free, certain scenic spots, supermarkets, and gold jewelry [9] - It suggests that the recent fundamentals of duty-free and travel chains have improved, warranting ongoing observation and validation [9] - For 2026, the report recommends focusing on service consumption and product consumption, particularly in the duty-free and travel chain sectors, as well as the gold jewelry sector and Miniso, which have high valuation attractiveness [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Retail Sector Outlook for Q4 2025 - Gold Jewelry: - Lao Feng Xiang: Expected net profit growth of -15% to 5% - Zhou Da Sheng: Expected net profit growth of 15% to 30% - Chao Hong Ji: Forecasted net profit of 436 million to 533 million, a year-on-year increase of 125% to 175% - Cai Bai Co.: Expected net profit of 1.06 billion to 1.23 billion, corresponding to a growth of 150% to 254% - Yu Garden Co.: Forecasted loss of 4.312 billion, primarily due to asset impairment provisions [1] - Trendy Toys: - Miniso: Expected revenue growth of 25% to 30%, with adjusted operating profit and net profit growth of 10% to 20% [1] Supermarket and Department Store Outlook for Q4 2025 - Chongqing Department Store: Expected net profit of 1.021 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 22.4% - Wangfujing: Expected net profit of -45 million to -23 million, with a growth rate of -6.6% to 7.3% - Yonghui Supermarket: Expected loss of 2.14 billion, with a growth rate of -3.1% - Jiajiayue: Expected net profit of 198 million to 228 million, growth of 50.1% to 72.8% - Hongqi Chain: Expected net profit growth of -10% to 0% [2] Cross-Border and E-commerce Outlook for Q4 2025 - Small Commodity City: Expected net profit growth of 5% to 15% - Anker Innovation: Expected net profit growth of 10% to 20% - Saiwei Times: Expected net profit of 90 million to 130 million - Huakai Yibai: Expected net profit of 80 million to 110 million, driven by improved operational efficiency [3] Social Services Sector Outlook for Q4 2025 - Duty-Free: China Duty-Free Group: Expected net profit growth of 29% to 173% - Tourism: - Songcheng Performance: Expected net profit growth of -204% to 294% - Tianmu Lake: Expected net profit growth of -10% to 5% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Small Commodity City, China Duty-Free, Huazhu Group, Shoulu Hotel, Jinjiang Hotel, Chao Hong Ji, Jiuhua Tourism, Ruoyu Chen, Qingmu Technology, and Miniso, while also keeping an eye on other companies with potential [10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of HBN, a leading domestic skincare brand, which has submitted its prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, indicating strong growth potential in the efficacy skincare market [3][24] - The report emphasizes the importance of emotional consumption themes and suggests focusing on high-quality companies in high-growth sectors [6][49] Summary by Sections Industry Performance Overview - The commercial retail and social services indices reported declines of 4.18% and 3.45% respectively during the week of January 26 to January 30, 2026, ranking 26th and 23rd among 31 primary industries [5][14] - The jewelry sector showed the highest growth, with a weekly increase of 7.07% and a year-to-date increase of 19.39% [15][18] Key Industry Developments - HBN, established in 2019, is recognized as the largest domestic skincare brand in the efficacy skincare segment, with a market share of 0.8% in the Chinese improvement skincare market as of 2024 [24][25] - HBN's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 1.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.2%, with high-efficacy skincare products accounting for 78.6% of total revenue [29] Investment Recommendations - Investment Theme 1: Focus on high-end gold and fashion jewelry brands, recommending companies like Laopuhuangjin and Chaohongji [6][49] - Investment Theme 2: Highlighting retail companies that adapt to emotional value and intelligent trends, with recommendations for Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [6][49] - Investment Theme 3: Emphasizing beauty and personal care brands that innovate with emotional value and safe ingredients, recommending brands like Maogeping and Pola [6][50] - Investment Theme 4: Targeting differentiated medical beauty product manufacturers and leading medical beauty institutions, recommending companies like Aimeike and Meilitiantian [6][51]

证券之星消息，1月29日互联网电商板块较上一交易日上涨0.47%，壹网壹创领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4157.98，上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于14300.08，下跌0.3%。互联网电商板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300792 | 壹网壹创 | 42.68 | 5.88% | 31.03万 | | 13.49 乙 | | 600365 | ST通葡 | 3.07 | 2.33% | 9.05万 | | 2751.93万 | | 301001 | 凯淳股份 | 36.39 | 1.65% | 11.78万 | | 4.34亿 | | 301110 | 青木科技 | 81.21 | 1.61% | 8.76万 | | 7.34亿 | | 300592 | 华凯易佰 | 13.85 | 1.54% | 32.71万 | | 4.63亿 | | 002315 | 焦点科技 | 52.74 | 1.27% | 14.12万 | | 7.59亿 | ...

证券代码：301381 证券简称：赛维时代 公告编号：2026-003 赛维时代科技股份有限公司 关于为全资子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误 导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别风险提示： 公司提供担保总额已超过最近一期经审计净资产 100%，对资产负债率超过 70%的单位担保金额超过上市公司最近一期经审计净资产 50%，敬请投资者充 分关注担保风险。 一、担保情况概述 赛维时代科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 10 月 27 日召 开第四届董事会第七次会议，于 2025 年 11 月 14 日召开 2025 年第四次临时股 东会审议通过《关于公司及子公司向金融机构申请综合授信及担保额度预计的 议案》，为满足公司及子公司（合并报表范围内子公司，以下统称"子公司"） 各项日常经营活动开展的资金需求，公司及子公司拟向银行等金融机构申请总 额不超过 68.00 亿元人民币或等值外币的综合授信额度（含存续授信额度）。为 保障上述综合授信融资方案的顺利实施，公司及子公司拟为合并报表范围内的 子公司申请的综合授信额度提供总额度不超过 45.50 ...

证券之星消息，1月27日互联网电商板块较上一交易日上涨0.73%，凯淳股份领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4139.9，上涨0.18%。深证成指报收于14329.91，上涨0.09%。互联网电商板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日互联网电商板块主力资金净流入1.81亿元，游资资金净流入1.2亿元，散户资金 净流出3.01亿元。互联网电商板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301001 凯淳股份 | | -7014.40万 | 11.26% | -3089.59万 | -4.96% | -3924.80万 | -6.30% | | 300592 华凯易佰 | | 6546.43万 | 12.72% | 871.55万 | 1.69% | -7417.99万 | -14.42% | | 301110 青木科技 | | 5552.27万 | 7.95% | 3825.61万 | 5. ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the competitive advantage of Qian Dama through its "community small store + daily clearance mechanism + warehouse and cold chain" model, which enhances supply stability and operational efficiency [3][24][35] - The report emphasizes the importance of emotional consumption themes and identifies high-quality companies in high-growth sectors, recommending specific companies across various segments [6][37] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The retail and social service indices reported a decline of 1.47% and an increase of 1.53% respectively during the week of January 12-16, 2026 [5][13] - The internet e-commerce sector showed the highest growth, with a year-to-date increase of 11.18% [16][19] Company Highlights - Qian Dama has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, focusing on fresh food retail in the South China market, with a GMV of 9.8 billion yuan in 2024, significantly outperforming its competitors [24][25] - The company operates 2,983 stores, with 2,898 being franchise stores, contributing over 90% of its revenue [25][31] - The report recommends several companies based on their performance and market positioning, including: - Chaohongji, expected to achieve a net profit of 436-533 million yuan in 2025, driven by brand upgrades and channel expansion [39][43] - Meilitiantian Medical Health, projected to see a revenue increase of 28.2% in FY2025H1 [39] - Zhou Dafu, focusing on product structure optimization and store upgrades [39] Investment Themes - Investment Theme 1: Focus on high-end gold and fashion jewelry brands, recommending Chaohongji and Laopu Gold [6][37] - Investment Theme 2: Emphasize retail companies adapting to trends and AI-enabled cross-border e-commerce leaders, recommending Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [6][37] - Investment Theme 3: Highlight domestic beauty brands that meet emotional value and safety innovation, recommending Maogeping and Pola [6][37] - Investment Theme 4: Focus on differentiated medical beauty product manufacturers and leading medical beauty institutions, recommending Meilitiantian Medical Health and Aimeike [6][37]