鼎捷数智(300378)：业绩稳健增长 海外拓展态势强劲

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.331 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.62%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 156 million yuan, up 3.59% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 423 million yuan, an increase of 4.33% year-on-year, but reported a net profit of -8 million yuan, reflecting a 14.04% year-on-year growth in losses [2] Revenue Breakdown - For 2024, the company's self-developed smart software products generated revenue of 662 million yuan, a growth of 13.57% year-on-year; integrated smart hardware and software solutions achieved revenue of 555 million yuan, up 12.64% year-on-year; while smart technology services saw a revenue decline of 3.34% to 1.1114 billion yuan [2] - In 2024, revenue from mainland China was 1.177 billion yuan, a growth of 1.92% year-on-year, while revenue from non-mainland regions reached 1.154 billion yuan, growing by 7.53% year-on-year [2] - In Q1 2025, revenue from mainland China was 175 million yuan, up 6.46% year-on-year, and revenue from non-mainland regions was 249 million yuan, a growth of 2.87% year-on-year [2] R&D and Innovation - The company maintains a strong focus on R&D, with 1,743 R&D personnel, accounting for 34.08% of total employees, and R&D investment of 332 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 15.13% over the past five years [3] - The company launched the Dingjie multimodal large model and Agent development platform, enabling rapid construction of AI Agent applications for enterprises and ISV partners [3] - The integration of AI technologies has led to a 30% increase in average transaction value by enhancing product intelligence [3] Market Strategy - The company is leveraging policy benefits to upgrade resource allocation, focusing on domestic software localization and providing integrated solutions driven by AI and smart technologies [4] - In 2024, the company adjusted its operational strategy in mainland China to optimize resource allocation, targeting high-growth sectors such as low-altitude economy and AI [4] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2.669 billion yuan, 3.067 billion yuan, and 3.465 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 14.52%, 14.90%, and 25.05% respectively; net profit forecasts are 202 million yuan, 269 million yuan, and 336 million yuan, with growth rates of 29.95%, 32.88%, and 25.05% respectively [5] - The company's current price corresponds to a PE ratio of 50.05, 37.67, and 30.12 for 2025-2027 [5]