Group 1 - The capital market remains focused on the ready-to-drink beverage sector, but not all companies perform consistently, leading to significant stock price volatility [1] - Hu Shang A Yi has become the fourth new tea beverage company to go public this year, officially listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on May 8, with an issue price of HKD 113.12 and a closing price of HKD 158.4 [1] - As of December 31, 2024, Hu Shang A Yi is projected to have a total of 9,176 stores, with 99.7% being franchise stores, covering all four direct-controlled municipalities and over 300 cities across 22 provinces [1] Group 2 - The revenue for Hu Shang A Yi from 2022 to 2024 is projected to be RMB 2.199 billion, RMB 3.348 billion, and RMB 3.285 billion, respectively, with adjusted net profits of RMB 154 million, RMB 416 million, and RMB 418 million during the same period [1] - The franchise business accounts for a significant portion of Hu Shang A Yi's revenue, contributing 94.3%, 96.3%, and 96.5% of total revenue from 2022 to 2024 [1] - The decline in company performance for 2024 is attributed to reduced income from franchise-related and self-operated stores [1] Group 3 - The new tea beverage sector is facing intense competition, with approximately 464,000 ready-to-drink tea shops in China by the end of 2023, indicating a fragmented market that is undergoing consolidation [2] - The new tea beverage and coffee categories have become essential for the younger generation since 2018, driven by demographic changes and evolving consumer behaviors [2] - The market is expected to see a trend of "big fish eating small fish," with companies having fewer than 3,000 stores likely to exit the market [2] Group 4 - Several newly listed tea beverage companies have experienced stock price increases, with Gu Ming's stock rising approximately 170% since its listing three months ago, and Mi Xue Bing Cheng's stock increasing by about 135% in two months [3] - However, not all companies have fared well; Naixue's Tea has seen its stock price drop by about 80% from its peak, and Cha Ba Dao has experienced a 40% decline since its listing [3]
沪上阿姨成第六家上市新茶饮企业,现制饮品赛道资本市场表现如何