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银轮股份(002126):海外盈利能力继续提升 数字能源业务持续放量

Core Viewpoint - The company's Q1 performance met expectations with revenue and net profit showing significant year-on-year growth, indicating a positive trend in business operations and financial health [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q1 revenue reached 3.416 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.1% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 212 million yuan, up 10.9% year-on-year - Non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 208 million yuan, reflecting a 16.3% year-on-year growth - Gross margin slightly decreased to 19.8%, down 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to annual pressure [1] Cost and Cash Flow - Operating expense ratio improved to 10.7%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, with reductions in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios - Financial expense ratio decreased by 0.8 percentage points due to increased exchange gains - Net cash flow from operating activities improved to -135 million yuan, compared to -638 million yuan in the same period last year, driven by increased cash receipts from sales [1] Business Segments - Passenger vehicle revenue grew approximately 10% year-on-year, with the new energy segment increasing by about 21% - Commercial vehicle and digital energy business revenues rose by approximately 12% and 50% respectively - The energy storage business is expected to grow rapidly due to rising customer demand, while the diesel generator thermal management business is entering a capacity ramp-up phase [2] International Expansion - Q1 overseas sales revenue was approximately 880 million yuan, accounting for 25.85% of total revenue - North American profitability continues to improve, and the European Setrab company has turned profitable - The company plans to accelerate overseas development, including the construction of a third factory in Mexico and expansion in Poland and Malaysia [2] Future Outlook - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.26, 1.63, and 2.02 yuan respectively - The average PE ratio for comparable companies in 2025 is estimated at 24 times, with a target price set at 30.24 yuan, maintaining a buy rating [3]