美元强势回升，澳元与纽元面临技术性压力

Group 1 - The foreign exchange market is experiencing tension, with the US dollar index rebounding significantly, putting pressure on the Australian and New Zealand dollars [1] - The Australian dollar (AUD) fell to a low of 0.6370 against the US dollar (USD) before recovering slightly, ending the week down 0.6% after four consecutive weeks of gains [1] - The New Zealand dollar (NZD) also faced a sharp decline, dropping 0.6% overnight and testing the 0.5870 level, with analysts warning of potential stronger sell-offs if it breaches key support levels [1] Group 2 - The strong performance of the US dollar is driven by three main factors: the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, the positive impact of the US-UK trade agreement on risk appetite, and a technical correction after several weeks of decline [1] - Market expectations for interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) have increased due to weak retail sales data and slowing inflation, with predictions of a 25 basis point cut to 3.85% [2] - The upcoming high-level trade talks between China and the US are a focal point for the market, with potential outcomes that could significantly impact currency market stability [2]