2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-05-09 06:44Core Viewpoint - The stock prices of domestic wafer foundry leaders SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor have significantly declined due to performance impacts, with SMIC's Hong Kong stock dropping over 10% at one point [1][2]. Group 1: SMIC Performance - SMIC reported Q1 2025 revenue of 16.301 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.4%, and a net profit of 1.356 billion yuan, up 166.5% [3]. - The revenue increase was attributed to higher wafer sales and changes in product mix, with Q1 sales reaching 2.247 billion USD, a 1.8% quarter-on-quarter growth, but below the guidance range of 6%-8% [3]. - SMIC's gross margin was 22.5%, exceeding the upper limit of the guidance range (19%-21%), and capacity utilization rose to 89.6%, a 4.1 percentage point increase [3]. - For Q2, SMIC provided guidance indicating a revenue decline of 4% to 6% quarter-on-quarter, with gross margin expected between 18% and 20% [3]. Group 2: Challenges and Market Conditions - SMIC's CEO explained that the decline in average selling prices (ASP) was due to unexpected production issues and equipment performance during Q1, which are expected to continue for the next four to five months [4]. - Analysts noted that while there are specific operational challenges, SMIC is also facing competitive pressure in mature processes, particularly in the 90nm to 55nm range, which could impact revenue [4]. - Dolphin Investment Research indicated that without adjustments to capital expenditure plans, SMIC's gross margin may struggle to improve significantly [4][5]. Group 3: Hua Hong Semiconductor Performance - Hua Hong Semiconductor reported Q1 revenue of 3.913 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.66%, but net profit fell to 22.7634 million yuan, a decline of 89.73% [6]. - The profit drop was attributed to increased R&D expenses, reduced tax credits, and higher foreign exchange losses, partially offset by rising gross margins [6]. - For Q2, Hua Hong expects main business revenue between 550 million to 570 million USD, with gross margin anticipated between 7% and 9% [6]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The market dynamics for the semiconductor industry remain uncertain due to changes in the international environment and related policies, affecting customer demand and procurement costs [7]. - Notably, the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund reduced its holdings in both SMIC and Hua Hong, indicating potential shifts in investor sentiment [7].