KINGSEMI(SH:688037) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-10 02:30Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on the verification progress of its ArF immersion high-capacity coating and developing machine, actively promoting its introduction and validation across different clients [1] Investment Highlights - The company's EPS forecast for 2025-2027 has been updated to 1.35, 2.14, and 3.36 yuan, reflecting growth rates of 34.08%, 58.60%, and 56.93% respectively. The 2025E and 2026E forecasts have been slightly downgraded, while 2027E is a new addition. Given the low domestic localization rate of front-end coating and developing equipment, achieving breakthroughs will create significant competitive barriers, leading to a projected PE valuation of 80 times for 2025, corresponding to a target price of 108.00 yuan [2] Operating Performance Pressure - The company anticipates a revenue of 1.753 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.13%, with a net profit of 73.31 million yuan, down 60.83% year-on-year. The decline in net profit is primarily due to increased R&D investment, with R&D expenses expected to reach 297 million yuan in 2024, a 49.93% increase. The company is currently in a critical transition period for upgrading coating and developing equipment and validating new products, resulting in significant performance pressure [3] Product Development Progress - The main products are advancing smoothly at client sites. The high-end offline machines, including SOC, SOD, and NTD, have achieved rapid breakthroughs, and I-Line and KrF machines are showing good production data at multiple client sites. The introduction and validation of the ArF immersion high-capacity coating and developing machine are actively being promoted across different clients [3] - New products are steadily progressing and are expected to contribute to new growth points for the company. The front-end chemical cleaning machine launched in March 2024 has passed client process validation and received orders from several major domestic clients. The temporary bonding and debonding machines have successfully passed validation from multiple clients and are entering a gradual ramp-up phase, with nearly 20 orders in hand. The new Frame cleaning equipment for 2.5D/3D advanced packaging has also passed client validation and is entering small-batch sales [4]