高盛：油价的中期风险偏向下行

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs indicates that the medium-term risks for oil prices are skewed to the downside despite a recent recovery influenced by optimistic sentiments from US-China trade talks [1] Group 1: Price Forecast - Goldman Sachs forecasts that Brent and WTI crude oil prices may decline slightly further, with average prices expected to be $60 and $56 per barrel respectively for the remainder of 2025 [1] - The price predictions are based on the assumption that OPEC will make its last supply increase in July, and that global supply growth will be strong excluding OPEC, Russia, and US shale oil [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report highlights concerns over a significant amount of idle capacity and increasing worries about an economic recession, which contribute to the downward risk for oil prices [1] - Demand is expected to slow down, but the US is anticipated to avoid an economic recession, which could influence oil market dynamics [1]