Core Conclusion - Northbound capital and margin trading have become the main buying forces in the market, while ETF withdrawals continue. Future attention should be on the recovery of margin trading and the sustainability of individual investor consensus [1] Trading Activity & Volatility - Market trading activity has rebounded, and volatility has decreased. Sectors such as textiles, light industry, retail, machinery, and military are all above the 90th percentile in trading activity, while the communication sector remains above the 80th percentile in volatility [2] - The volatility of sectors like military, electric new energy, transportation, home appliances, communication, and banking has increased significantly [5] Northbound Capital Activity - Northbound capital activity has increased, with net buying primarily in sectors like communication, electronics, electric utilities, machinery, and electric new energy, while net selling occurred in pharmaceuticals, computers, and media [15] Margin Trading Activity - Margin trading activity has risen to its highest point since late March 2025, with net buying mainly in TMT, machinery, military, pharmaceuticals, and automotive sectors, while net selling was observed in banking, transportation, food and beverage, electric new energy, and textiles [17] ETF Activity - ETFs continue to experience net redemptions, with significant inflows into the STAR 50, CSI 1000, and CSI 2000 ETFs, while outflows were noted in the CSI 300, ChiNext, dividend, and CSI A500 ETFs. The net buying was concentrated in electronics, computers, and machinery, with net selling in electric new energy, financial real estate, pharmaceuticals, food and beverage, communication, and transportation [33][41]
民生策略:北上与两融共同成为市场的阶段主要买入力量,而ETF的撤离则仍在继续
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-05-12 12:39