HAI TIAN(SH:603288) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-13 10:36Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in 2025, following a return to growth in 2024 after reforms, with revenue growth projected at +9.5% for 2024 and +8.1% for Q1 2025 [1] Group 1: Revenue Growth - The company operates in a resilient sector with essential demand for condiments, allowing for sustained growth [1] - There is potential for further penetration in lower-tier markets [1] - Core product categories such as soy sauce, oyster sauce, and seasoning sauces are expected to continue stable growth, with new products like cooking wine, vinegar, and compound seasonings also showing significant growth potential, projected at +16.8% for 2024 and +20.8% for Q1 2025 [1] Group 2: International Expansion - The company is advancing its overseas strategy steadily, which is expected to contribute to performance growth in the medium to long term [1] - The company is implementing a localized operational strategy to explore and seize growth opportunities in overseas markets [1] Group 3: Profitability - Cost advantages and improved supply chain efficiency are expected to lead to a continued increase in gross margin, with gross margins projected to rise by +2.3 and +2.7 percentage points for 2024 and Q1 2025, respectively [2] - The company has maintained good expense control, with net profit margins increasing by +0.7 and +1.5 percentage points for 2024 and Q1 2025, respectively [2] - Profit growth is anticipated to outpace revenue growth in 2025 [2] Group 4: Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 29.79 billion, 32.71 billion, and 35.76 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of +10.7%, +9.8%, and +9.3%, respectively [2] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 7.28 billion, 8.06 billion, and 8.87 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of +14.7%, +10.7%, and +10.1%, respectively [2]