金晟富：5.13黄金反弹修正还会跌吗？晚间黄金行情分析参考

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the recent fluctuations in gold prices influenced by geopolitical events and economic data, particularly the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) [2][3][4] - Gold prices rebounded by 0.6% to approximately $3,254 after hitting a low, following a significant drop of 2.7% the previous day due to improved market risk appetite after a U.S.-China tariff agreement [2][3] - The U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs significantly, with U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods dropping from 145% to 30%, and Chinese tariffs on U.S. goods from 125% to 10%, which boosted global stock markets and reduced concerns about a U.S. economic recession [2][3] Group 2 - The upcoming U.S. CPI report is critical, with expectations of a 2.4% year-over-year increase, which could influence Federal Reserve policy and subsequently impact gold prices [3][4] - If the CPI data exceeds expectations, it may strengthen the hawkish sentiment around the Federal Reserve, leading to a stronger dollar and further declines in gold prices [3][4] - Conversely, if the CPI growth slows, it could reignite expectations for multiple rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, providing support for gold prices [3][4] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that gold is currently in a bearish trend, with significant downward movement observed, and a potential target of $2,909 if it breaks below the previous low of $3,200 [4][6] - Short-term trading strategies suggest focusing on selling during rebounds, with key resistance levels identified around $3,265 to $3,270, and support levels at $3,200 to $3,160 [6][7] - The market sentiment remains cautious, with traders advised to manage positions carefully and consider real-time strategies based on market movements [6][7]