TTWO Set to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - TakeTwo Interactive Software (TTWO) is set to release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 15, with expectations of GAAP net revenues between $1.52 billion and $1.62 billion, and a GAAP net loss per share ranging from 20 cents to earnings per share of 13 cents [1] Revenue Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TTWO's fiscal fourth-quarter revenues is $1.55 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 14.73% [1] - The consensus for earnings is currently at $1.08 per share, indicating a significant year-over-year growth of 248.39% [2] Performance Drivers - NBA 2K is anticipated to significantly contribute to results, with a projected high-teens percentage increase in recurrent consumer spending for the franchise [3] - Other titles like Grand Theft Auto V and GTA Online are expected to continue contributing, although GTA Online may see declines [3] - New launches such as Sid Meier's Civilization VII, PGA Tour 2K25, and WWE 2K25 are expected to support top-line growth, with Civilization VII already setting a franchise record for preorders [4] Mobile Segment Challenges - Mobile bookings are projected to face challenges, with only low single-digit growth expected for the fiscal year, influenced by underperformance in titles like Empires & Puzzles [5] Cost Management - GAAP operating expenses for the fiscal fourth quarter are projected between $900 million and $920 million, with a 2% decline year over year due to normalized marketing and cost-saving initiatives [6] Earnings Outlook - TTWO currently has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating that the odds of an earnings beat are not favorable at this time [7]