贺博生:5.14黄金原油震荡上涨最新行情走势分析及今日独家操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-05-13 23:42

Market Overview - The investment market has four levels: preserving capital, controlling risk, earning returns, and achieving long-term stable profits [1] - The market's reaction to daily fluctuations should not dictate long-term investment strategies; successful investors are those who can sustain profitability over time [1] Gold Market Analysis Fundamental Analysis - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April showed a moderation in inflation, impacting market sentiment and reshaping Federal Reserve rate cut expectations [1] - Despite a dovish signal from the CPI data, market reactions were mixed, reflecting both caution and optimism [1] - Following a recent U.S.-China tariff truce, market risk appetite increased, reducing gold's appeal as a safe haven [1] - Traders are awaiting the upcoming CPI data, which is crucial for determining the next market direction [1] Technical Analysis - The monthly gold chart indicates a neutral to bullish long-term trend, while the weekly chart shows a bearish shooting star pattern [2] - Short-term trends are bearish, but a breakout above 3348 could signal a potential bottom reversal and the start of a new bullish wave [2] - Key support levels are identified at 3215-3225, with 3200 acting as a critical pivot point [4] Oil Market Analysis Fundamental Analysis - International oil prices rebounded but faced a pullback due to the U.S. and major Asian countries agreeing to delay some tariffs, which boosted economic outlook and energy demand [5] - Brent crude oil futures rose by $1.05 (1.6%) to $64.96 per barrel, while WTI crude increased by $0.93 (1.5%) to $61.95 per barrel, marking the highest closing levels since April 28 [5] - The market remains in a range-bound phase, with ongoing uncertainties regarding the sustainability of trade agreements [5] Technical Analysis - The mid-term trend for oil prices is downward, with a potential test of the $50 level anticipated after a series of price fluctuations [6] - Short-term trends indicate a shift towards bearish momentum, with MACD indicators showing strong bearish signals [6] - Recommended trading strategy includes buying on dips around $60 and selling on rebounds near $64.5-$65.0 [6]