存5年不如存1年利率高，中小银行存款利率倒挂范围扩大

Core Viewpoint - Recent significant reductions in deposit rates by several small and medium-sized banks have led to unusual phenomena such as one-year deposit rates exceeding five-year rates, indicating a shift in banks' deposit management strategies [2][3][7]. Group 1: Deposit Rate Adjustments - Multiple small and medium-sized banks have initiated a new round of deposit rate cuts, with noticeable instances of one-year rates surpassing five-year rates, such as Xinjiang Korla Fumin Village Bank's one-year rate at 2.0% compared to 1.95% for five years [2][3]. - The phenomenon of "rate inversion" has become more common, with banks like Shandong Yinan Blue Ocean Village Bank showing three-year rates at 2.0% while five-year rates are at 1.8%, a 20 basis point difference [3][5]. - Guangdong Qingxin Rural Commercial Bank has also adjusted its rates, with one-year rates at 1.1% and three-year rates at 1.53%, indicating a trend where longer-term deposits yield lower returns [4]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Trends - The banking sector is experiencing a trend where deposit growth outpaces loan growth, with banks like Xiamen Bank reporting a 3.17% increase in deposits while loans decreased by 2.02% [6]. - There is a noticeable shift towards "regularization" of deposits, with personal term deposits increasing significantly across various banks, indicating pressure on banks' liability management [6]. - Analysts suggest that the ongoing trend of declining interest rates will lead to more frequent occurrences of deposit rate inversions, as banks adjust their strategies to manage costs more effectively [7][9]. Group 3: Future Expectations - The People's Bank of China has indicated a potential for further reductions in deposit rates, which may lead to a collective nationwide decrease in interest rates, impacting banks' ability to attract deposits [7][8]. - The expectation of continued downward pressure on rates suggests that banks will need to refine their deposit management strategies to remain competitive in attracting customers [9].