金油神策：5.15晚间黄金、原油操作建议、行情分析

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices continued to decline due to various pressures, including reduced safe-haven demand from improved US-China trade sentiment, decreased bets on Fed rate cuts, and rising US Treasury yields [1] - Despite short-term pressures, the fundamental outlook for gold remains strong, with ongoing geopolitical risks and central banks increasing gold reserves to diversify away from the dollar [1] - Technical indicators suggest a potential for a rebound, with the CCI entering oversold territory; if the Fed signals a dovish stance in upcoming meetings and geopolitical tensions escalate, gold prices could exceed $3200 [1] Group 2: Gold Trading Recommendations - Aggressive short positions suggested at $3176/$3181, with a more conservative approach at $3200/$3205, targeting a break below $3150 [3] - For long positions, aggressive entries at $3143/$3148 and conservative entries at $3125/$3130 are recommended, targeting a break above $3180 [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - Iranian leadership indicated a willingness to negotiate with the US under specific conditions, which could lead to the lifting of economic sanctions and potentially increase oil supply, putting downward pressure on oil prices [1] - Recent oil price movements showed a downward trend, with resistance at $63.5 and a drop to around $62.7, indicating a bearish medium-term outlook [1] Group 4: Oil Trading Recommendations - Aggressive short positions recommended at $60.9/$61.4, with conservative entries at $62.1/$62.6, targeting a break below $59.8 [5] - For long positions, aggressive entries at $59.0/$58.5 and conservative entries at $57.7/$57.2 are suggested, targeting a break above $62.0 [5]