YILI(600887) 新浪证券·2025-05-15 10:28Core Viewpoint - The dairy industry is experiencing a significant downturn in 2024, with a notable decline in revenue and net profit among listed companies, attributed to oversupply, weak demand, and high inventory levels [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In 2023, 19 listed dairy companies in A-shares achieved total revenue of 184.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.44% [1]. - The total net profit for these companies fell from 13.10 billion yuan to 9.58 billion yuan, representing a 27% decline [1][2]. - 14 out of 19 companies reported a decrease in revenue, compared to only 6 the previous year [1]. Group 2: Key Companies - Yili Group reported a net profit of 8.45 billion yuan, but experienced an 8.24% decline in revenue and an 18.94% drop in net profit, marking its first instance of dual decline [2]. - Other liquid milk companies, such as Bright Dairy and San Yuan, saw net profit declines of 25.36% and 77.44%, respectively [2]. - Five dairy companies reported losses, including Huangshi Group, Zhuangyuan Pasture, and Xibu Dairy, an increase of two companies from the previous year [2][4]. Group 3: Growth and Resilience - Only 6 companies reported net profit growth, including Beingmate, Pinwo Food, Miaokelando, Yiming Food, New Dairy, and Hairong Technology [3]. - New Dairy has maintained double-digit growth in net profit in recent years, despite a 2.93% revenue decline in 2024 [3][4]. - New Dairy's focus on low-temperature fresh milk and yogurt products has allowed it to avoid intense competition and benefit from rising penetration rates of low-temperature products [4].