SoFi Stock Slides 14% in 3 Months: Is This a Buying Opportunity?

Core Viewpoint - SoFi Technologies, Inc. has experienced a 13.5% decline in share price over the past three months, compared to a 6.5% decline in the industry, raising questions about whether this presents a buying opportunity or warrants caution [1][2]. SoFi's Business Model - SoFi employs a land-and-expand strategy, effectively managing to attract a growing customer base through a diverse range of financial services, which enhances cross-selling opportunities and overall profitability [3]. - Management projects a revenue increase of 24% to 27% for 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to surge by 80% to 87%, indicating strong potential for long-term shareholder value creation [4]. Galileo's Growth Potential - Galileo, SoFi's B2B financial services platform, is a key growth driver, positioned to benefit from the embedded finance market, which is projected to grow at a 16.8% CAGR through 2029 [5]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, SoFi reported a 20% year-over-year increase in net sales and a 217% surge in net income, showcasing strong operating leverage and efficient scaling [8]. - All business segments contributed to revenue growth, with Lending and Technology Platform revenues increasing by 25% and 10% year-over-year, while the Financial Services segment surged by 101% [9]. Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SOFI's 2025 earnings is 27 cents per share, reflecting an 80% year-over-year increase [9]. - Projected revenues for 2025 are estimated at $3.26 billion, marking a 25% increase from the previous year [11]. Valuation Concerns - SoFi's forward 12-month Price/Earnings ratio stands at 38.92, significantly above the industry average of 18.89, indicating that investors are pricing in substantial future growth despite the recent stock decline [16].