别高兴太早！摩根大通(JPM.US)CEO警告美国仍面临经济衰退风险

Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon expressed concerns about a potential severe recession in the U.S. economy, despite recent tariff reductions between the U.S. and China [1] Economic Outlook - Dimon indicated that the possibility of a recession remains high, although JPMorgan's chief U.S. economist Michael Feroli reported that the likelihood is currently below 50% [1] - The recent agreement between the U.S. and China involves a significant reduction of tariffs for 90 days, alongside a suspension of tariffs on various goods from other countries [1] Tariff Impact - Dimon noted that even with the recent tariff reductions, the overall tariff rates on imports remain significantly higher than last year, which could negatively impact the economy [1] - He highlighted that businesses are beginning to hesitate in their investment decisions due to uncertainty about the future [1] Cautious Optimism - Dimon expressed cautious optimism regarding the tariff suspension, suggesting that it is essential to step back, reduce hostilities, and engage in dialogue [1] - He emphasized the ongoing global economic uncertainty and the need for policymakers and businesses to seek stable and sustainable solutions to trade issues between the U.S. and China for future economic stability [1]